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虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。2 n. i. p: d: X* o! F
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GM Overview- Q5 v1 a8 r* p6 b; Q
• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs
6 I Q' c! h( E• Objectives
" g& o% D/ m/ l) p" I– What do we “WANT” to do?; h8 K+ w |& K( ^& z' i( |5 I
• External Analysis) J F8 c# i: M# p" v; n
– What do we “NEED” to do?
: J6 G1 L# i: P# s" ^. e2 p, ?– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade4 I% l8 ]; m$ X5 g
• opportunities & threats
5 d" \& d; e Z) U- o7 v1 h– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs
7 c8 [' _+ L& P6 |• Internal Analysis
: E/ i* P2 R9 H; h– What “CAN” we do?/ S5 f0 _ {3 J- t- G5 h! @
– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
7 s; w7 l' o8 d( z• abilities, strengths & weaknesses
$ C. q4 M0 O# K3 a– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES
) E" `! _' p0 t) x! S3 S+ e
, x+ d( N, u2 K! p) ^* y• Alternative Evaluation, R: Z' N+ i$ C& ]; @
– What are the options?
9 }4 d& \+ O. I' `$ @* [– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
& H8 z/ ^9 L9 s1 @: ^– How does this option “FIT”?4 B# Q( [9 S6 i2 J' R6 J. p
– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)
8 T( w* e4 Z3 w– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”) + B7 m# D5 U3 g
% C4 ]0 L9 ?8 ]( ?
• Decision
, F( }' \; s& J+ M, ]7 t– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).
: E9 K2 h$ N8 T5 d" g) z! ~– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING
/ |/ N+ }4 w5 w" o! c• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?
& Z% b+ b* u; ]5 W! y- Q+ J4 x. j• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?
4 X( c* f) U+ `8 a! o- B9 \• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?/ D, |/ A5 d+ H1 v9 N2 M
• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS) M/ s% F) Y% _4 }; v
• Why NOT the other options?
3 S7 i5 a4 G w- h J# b/ a$ Z• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes
3 R3 B A/ ]4 I0 `( nneed to be made?
( d4 J1 G% l- B2 I# } z( J0 A" l- ^7 O( H9 d7 q2 z$ }+ V
• Action Plan. Z( ]2 S" H; ]: R# J
• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;
, \, V& I5 O1 Z7 U9 h6 h– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your% l8 Z! T- m; I- M' @( R
decision
( D$ u4 D; E: |8 V– details about timing" R+ L) U) ?1 D" v3 }$ z
– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’1 F& R* H" o2 M$ h3 S3 U0 Z
– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)
0 a0 m8 z! b4 B: F* e) o( y9 v$ M! f– make sure to consider both the short term and long term) w9 L" m4 o5 g6 J( p
# v, a) ?9 H* A0 m/ C" O1 n: E
Firm Valuation
* C' ?& a1 v$ P• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.0 E0 @( I: A' u$ P3 N- O
• 3 methods of valuing a firm;
6 C; l( |, a( Z– Net Book Value
; |1 ^2 V4 H8 T. ~, e+ i3 H! a) p– Economic Appraisal
' q) E. M$ K7 t5 T: ?– Capitalization of Earnings. U5 |+ i% U$ G
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the
; T2 Y8 s' o( B5 _" [- zcompany is worth.
5 e7 Y; r4 D2 b) s# y" a• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???
k% ~% _ k3 Q: S8 ~0 Q5 S
" z; ~% o8 v2 R. M Net Book Value (NBV)
" }0 E# w: h+ L5 k– Total Assets - Total Liabilities
S8 g, j2 O6 R$ o7 E• a.k.a.. the equity
5 z$ d! r" K I2 d( ?0 M& M8 v) R– Does not account for the present market value of the assets
2 L( F# @ r7 ~6 x% _– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet% a% ~2 W) `' ]- {4 L7 o4 _; y
– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business
6 }1 M' W; e1 ?% o( r/ s5 J3 K1 v2 D. _% ^
Economic Appraisal (EA)
/ i( {6 X# J5 s# s v$ J– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets
. @9 z9 s1 K3 W– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities# k- p( z7 }$ X/ i9 j: n5 _
– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets% i4 C( M T. v6 h1 o' d
; `: q5 t; o6 v9 D P* X5 D7 T
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)
9 q/ T& f$ `. ?: B+ z– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S
# [+ W6 p* B8 O' w% u• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.* r E: R1 X9 w2 J
– NPAT * P/E ratio = value% {8 Z U; s3 p% i/ c
– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)
! \3 d9 _, A! E/ J$ C6 l, l• Assuming changes (projected statement)
' t2 }- x. k) G• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)( U- b8 B% L1 x% L1 A- n. a" e
– Select a reasonable P/E multiple- Z# d2 j2 X* M% ~
– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)
) l2 W3 i% H8 `4 K. a0 B# d+ k' j/ F
# ~3 v( v0 f- ~& q }2 W6 g• P/E Multiple) `" Q$ } b) Q9 a, K& I+ L4 `! r
– Rules of thumb;( z* P, Q/ t* l& {& |
• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples4 l8 y8 r# H6 `. m* Z( C4 D+ z
from 5 to 15.
8 k- }- P* X& [* ]• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.
. ]! ]2 v% I( ]9 }• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”- K+ s; ^5 J# ]) Z5 ^
– growth increases a multiple6 X1 }7 u2 }4 ~- A+ ]! J! L' a5 i
– risk decreases a multiple# k9 G6 N3 H0 q
8 R& |8 @1 X/ C8 e8 G
Their Associated Ratios
3 e( U( \7 L' M) d, J• Profitability;9 ^% ], t$ n+ g c& ~, f
– Business goal - to make $$
, U' g$ N. @4 {* m' a– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales W! q( y H5 V6 A* M6 g
• Stability;& ~4 h, @8 h/ l/ p
– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)# I. ]! y% `" J; r4 G& b! c
– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts
7 ^! B" B& s3 n7 ^1 b8 ^7 D! i0 N, k6 @ o: C) P* |
5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios; V5 T5 N4 h/ p9 V( b7 v
• Liquidity;- l x) f1 G, [% k' V% @
– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations1 A& l/ S+ X6 M
– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm& _/ S' N6 Z4 F, \( l
obligations)" s% ~5 H; V1 C. Y+ }* {* ~
• Efficiency; p2 ~1 k4 w' E% y! G
– Business goal - to efficiently use assets7 X) m3 j: H+ w6 q9 d5 W4 H
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments0 O e+ [" c. J
7 C5 v, ^: a2 w• Growth; I% @/ B' M. l( E6 ^; j Q
– Business goal - to increase in size
& I$ ^# C9 c! C" m– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth _/ @ ^; b$ N _
/ K) X: S" I2 dInterpreting the Ratios, ~, D/ ~5 k, U* \: g' S5 s
• Profitability;/ w: R! ]: G" s4 f0 l1 V1 a. T
– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)0 W7 W/ e) l( h( n& c
I/S items * 100 = %
' C7 ^* t; Z* c, _2 c Sales0 o/ L# ?0 C5 U# Y- K6 {) }
• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales
A$ G2 G* H) T1 Z: M– Return on Investment/Equity
6 Y+ ]9 i6 D- N) R" h% Q( |Profit ATB4D = % . T5 n0 K4 }8 m2 v) u( c
Average Equity8 T, Y- @ y) j, U
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]3 o0 e& p, A8 m) b3 T) t( l
• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners
, q1 j }& g# l7 ~# i0 C# Q
/ f, o I2 E, U• Stability;. p4 `8 r" i4 V) a& ]
– Net Worth: Total Assets" z. d# m8 J! K& e
Total Equity = % / A. s; j- Y7 Q8 B5 q, d1 n
Total Assets
% a: o8 Z1 e: u3 U2 j2 V' F• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money
( ^6 z3 g( ]8 F; T1 @/ w– Debt to Assets
# h( d0 `2 F8 ^* gTotal Debt = % 7 [' h# B* [( W/ Y4 P6 |+ B
Total Assets" b8 F6 s; r' {3 J! n
• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt
7 Q0 l( J7 ?* {6 z– Interest Coverage
9 s, f# ^6 b. }7 i/ t& [3 z EBIT = # times
0 p% N+ M. D4 Y: ~2 Z/ kInterest Expense
/ ~$ L' A+ p Z- `! A6 |4 X: A• tells us how many times we can pay interest
/ s0 d; S6 E& X, p8 `
' L7 f, B1 C2 ?2 u' |• Liquidity;
, | y7 J8 p: ~5 F: K0 v– Current Ratio
# ^. F f: d0 }% vCurrent Assets = X:15 h* Z u- w/ P
Current Liabilities) X( e' \! o- w8 A9 U
• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts
# k, @: n7 b+ J9 ORULE OF THUMB: 2:1/ ?; F* @/ K/ D0 S: p
– Acid Test
9 L! b- v+ i5 @% V' g$ kCash + M/S + A/R = X:14 }4 ~" u& x3 | s! X
Current Liabilities' e" W3 _* Q# A) l; J* e' N
• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us& }, y. n) F2 G; r& ?9 c _
RULE OF THUMB: 1:1
% y4 F$ e: y: r- |+ s6 }: {+ t
– Working Capital. n+ D9 V% `# C( k' q; t
C.A - C.L = $X
' u- m, E7 P8 ~7 n A8 U• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid6 r0 @! \5 Z g. J! B- f* m9 ` T
4 C9 T1 @+ M! i) L1 O
Efficiency;
! z1 b- s9 i6 b0 d* b' t– Age of Receivables/ i4 y( N; T5 y, B/ G# ]
Accounts Receivabl = # Days9 E3 z! b. t/ Y' `' ~, o# H9 y
(Sales / 365), K1 A6 ]1 e7 M
• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$
* l2 Y: ], j4 Q4 h5 a9 ^. [2 k; [4 J1 G# r6 u
– Age Of Payables
3 Q7 }" @- ~5 `4 S: UAccounts Payable = # Days
* t9 S- z: q5 B. g+ P" a. l(Purchases* / 365)
) p: |. g# o* O- n P p: N* c• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills9 U9 @3 d i8 R5 i/ _; |& u/ q: {/ j
3 u- W" U% H4 K: _
– Age of Inventory$ l1 v7 y5 G) {- p& T
Inventory = # Days6 X% e0 s/ s3 h2 z
(COGS / 365)
% E1 e4 v- }7 j; u, O, x; Q% \• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse4 E# x3 n* h. l; n
" _. _9 a$ N* X• Growth;
# h* c, {0 H, F0 ~– Sales
1 F6 E0 k7 s+ D+ F– Net Income2 }, S3 g+ C, z5 C: ?2 `6 A; a* I7 x
– Total Assets
: K L5 h" g; O3 l/ @8 k– Equity
3 _/ [( Z, c C: k/ ~Yr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %
! ]& E4 N5 w: y8 c# L5 F Yr. 1
5 d$ F' a: _1 ~* Z) h2 F! P• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)
1 v6 z: i( F0 U
0 l- f y5 H# T6 n( e2 YUnderstanding Ratios
" Z& B0 \. l6 P( Y" S6 n• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”
* e+ L# U/ Z9 e( u• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio
$ p4 [- ~, y: }8 i4 }* K4 t& E• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”( K2 y* ]4 u; H* A9 f
– Which number caused the change?
; }& s9 {7 p0 v j8 T5 u– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time. W' G# R+ T" f1 g
– Will these trends continue?! o0 G1 @% W! ^
– How does the company compare to the industry?+ V# f. v- A7 B0 c6 H6 n
+ {. j' x( `: Q4 W/ E2 B+ [( L$ N9 U6 ]/ \ l/ l( { j
Classifying Costs3 n" L/ q# M2 M% V, T/ I: N& g
• Variable Costs
# n8 ~% P& x9 T* e u– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume), L T: _# s5 C2 d' Y: @, M% u
• Fixed Costs
( d0 b7 V/ j- f0 [– cost that does not vary with volume |
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