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虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。+ [$ U( H ?9 `% f8 ]. e2 Q
8 L0 c* ~" `) o) H' P; o* hGM Overview7 p- H9 [3 j0 T. N
• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs
4 Z- h3 ^" P! Z6 R/ H( y$ H6 H$ g• Objectives. s! d+ _, [, T
– What do we “WANT” to do?$ M# E! S4 w0 T3 t6 q
• External Analysis6 Z" U# {# G# S! O
– What do we “NEED” to do?
9 Y$ v2 M. h- a( n2 B( k– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade% n- r: m; I. h3 b* Q3 g; M7 `+ {: }
• opportunities & threats
! Y: M6 L5 A o G# g7 h& Z u* D– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs* y9 i. R2 x5 H* x9 ?/ m( o7 }6 Z
• Internal Analysis
& J- n- N8 C/ _; N1 E4 L– What “CAN” we do?
- N# d3 \, r. \– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
) y( o: }! t5 r7 e+ z• abilities, strengths & weaknesses1 k0 g& V0 _8 l$ T
– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES! c: x( p5 j: m! l* ]
- O9 d1 z* }7 K# g1 i+ t
• Alternative Evaluation, R+ K. v Q9 A3 X" z X) u7 I
– What are the options?
' Z0 j m+ H D% R* ^) R$ z; t0 K– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
- q1 _ f+ ^$ \6 l& ^: q4 K– How does this option “FIT”?
' l: I) Y7 i) g1 e! A7 b– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)$ e5 C- ]/ m* n y* a [
– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”) , M; o8 M& d9 {: O
8 R9 G2 C0 E M
• Decision
( I6 C' f' y. r c* s3 u9 v8 n/ w% i– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).
( x* G, z; j) p– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING0 d7 U6 X7 L% X9 H- I: i1 }* g' K
• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?4 O) G- P7 ^2 ]8 h% { {
• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?9 Y C: v. w; y1 t- X' I R
• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?
2 K- S6 U, \" C" q5 ]3 e• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)
6 J3 G0 g5 `5 D h; v4 i• Why NOT the other options?
# S* c/ x7 W$ }* ^! _• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes
: ?+ \* n# m( x! e. a8 Hneed to be made?
; k% W; T+ w% z( U8 X$ ^( K) L% n/ J
) [+ i/ U) }: K# f• Action Plan" i% \) d: g i. C; G, y
• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;* c- Z1 b6 H: }/ H4 X
– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your: T# |- t' }0 `4 e
decision
8 o& C. I! U2 B: i4 S– details about timing
/ i, z. k/ l' U" ~- H– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’% \" e9 ?' i& \, W3 x( a& |6 F
– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)
6 \" H n h2 z+ y7 `1 }/ W– make sure to consider both the short term and long term
+ A: O2 G- J G8 f/ h$ [: ?
% _- [% F) _8 C8 {, yFirm Valuation
6 t% n, j4 P3 J/ W) v• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company." h9 F5 A7 I ~# g) N
• 3 methods of valuing a firm;
6 G, Q) z/ V, W; M! W– Net Book Value
& L4 J: ]$ ]$ E( [7 X" Z& `% F% _– Economic Appraisal: m" _& R3 J0 }2 m+ T& u
– Capitalization of Earnings0 x( ]- D/ v2 ^! X0 X. \
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the
/ v- V7 M3 G/ l) Z! O dcompany is worth.* r F, h. p/ ]
• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???
( v/ Y+ ~2 R# D
: I) K1 i9 Y! d0 R+ e+ E Net Book Value (NBV)
3 q# s) f( z) V/ g– Total Assets - Total Liabilities
) a) q$ L1 R" T6 L$ i• a.k.a.. the equity
( l o" Z3 \ r" S! i2 a$ _+ Y3 @– Does not account for the present market value of the assets# E! A0 x" s. l% o- x
– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet- G6 v$ o% y& h4 w
– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business6 B1 ^# N- G9 o' `
5 D+ m/ `, _8 M% w0 W: B8 A8 [ Economic Appraisal (EA)+ l& v" O( {& F C# F+ i) z" p: I
– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets( d9 R7 ?/ a5 T, ?( m
– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities+ Q- ~: s2 G, P$ ~5 X" S- b3 n
– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets
: | A( f2 s- H7 W$ u/ e' x3 a3 A0 ~1 Y7 B9 Y1 A
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)
' P' R* X( g4 n2 P f! I" K– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S( q4 [/ e7 ^$ p1 e' F, L
• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.) m) b4 C8 k8 s+ \ r
– NPAT * P/E ratio = value
% g r7 W) M t1 q8 {3 I– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)# _4 k* u+ }) {8 K8 n& ~' d8 _
• Assuming changes (projected statement)
$ R4 d5 K2 e6 S4 z" E4 o4 v( n) H• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)
) c+ E* Z0 w3 J4 r+ p: I4 i– Select a reasonable P/E multiple$ ~- } u. @- t* w; b
– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)
- s1 e4 u; G% o7 w: m7 J$ J4 L6 U$ q: y
+ ^. D# u7 B$ w2 B• P/E Multiple
( T8 U( G% `& s% M$ Y( s– Rules of thumb;
% A7 D: H; H" ^• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples
& G. e2 e; @0 j( {' d4 lfrom 5 to 15.
j" ~* F- \5 E• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.
4 I" x6 X, W( O8 T& A• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”8 H! W/ \6 S8 b: a# [
– growth increases a multiple R4 \4 z8 D% ~0 ]
– risk decreases a multiple
; K4 G1 B( _0 ?
( i* X( r# ]: X* u) g( q$ E. R/ VTheir Associated Ratios
8 m+ \9 y6 _' ^4 A6 q. M5 H! W• Profitability;
9 ~7 E. x% L" l. A, d2 M" N7 S– Business goal - to make $$
4 P+ m* v! E: \* k" y# c* ^– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales7 @( b# l3 S7 u# K1 f8 ?
• Stability;
7 p0 q6 G6 f3 D9 Z– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)
- Y% r$ m: E" n– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts. ^% S V! b. A/ g" d) M/ j
. m5 V( h$ E+ I8 X3 G7 o2 b
5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios
z0 m4 a8 z; w# K • Liquidity;
. \1 D- }, m: q" v– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations
7 j5 k( l, E- S: }+ m5 }– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm* v6 L! u" H; G& b
obligations); N, D) t: J. |$ g& Q2 r5 X
• Efficiency;7 H3 g/ c9 Y& C0 g9 R* Z4 u9 z
– Business goal - to efficiently use assets/ | y1 h6 f$ p
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments( L a- }* M+ x A6 ?
& p% O4 c$ L. H; G5 L8 b: A0 ?# U$ i• Growth;
. Y% u U I' i3 o– Business goal - to increase in size
, A- _3 j% Y a7 o3 g– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth
$ W* I! a5 G7 i9 b( O4 [
- B3 j" H. x8 t5 s8 o4 l0 SInterpreting the Ratios2 c: [1 _; M1 E% @ l
• Profitability;
3 X( @* ]- [3 q: y( L; R– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)) I1 R1 j! W% k, U) x4 Q
I/S items * 100 = % . w6 I! R6 ~3 J5 i% q( S- ?, K
Sales3 U8 |. r# h" O- d$ F2 s3 M9 j, W9 Y. B
• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales
" I% m% L; X8 M. D! ?– Return on Investment/Equity
+ I) b5 A" Z, |2 B1 }Profit ATB4D = % % B5 T$ J7 u. }7 |4 Z! ~3 Z
Average Equity
- \1 t4 y, e) o6 | z2 h* n[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]+ S1 s& g. S$ j/ W6 B% D
• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners
! T: P. R( [% }+ F: w! M. Q% u; S; c; ^
• Stability;+ J+ C7 i$ J+ l9 I2 ~$ J3 a( A3 z
– Net Worth: Total Assets
6 I$ u7 F( L# D2 ^! kTotal Equity = % " ]' i* d0 r& v: y3 _! }5 p
Total Assets
/ g; L; U+ d6 l7 C( q0 H3 K \• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money
( n' V* o D1 W$ `* ]– Debt to Assets
* O* Q$ ~1 a; ~ J4 ?$ J( [: KTotal Debt = % 3 x6 ^6 y/ C* U, V8 S
Total Assets9 c9 t8 ~# M5 N+ y- L
• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt+ }8 u: |' T, X9 W! a' ?0 d0 ^
– Interest Coverage, @6 g3 W, U. ~& Y: x
EBIT = # times
4 v9 }. S0 R3 x2 k: sInterest Expense
+ t& m; K9 Z8 @7 J• tells us how many times we can pay interest
+ n0 u) Z- \+ \2 w* z% O( c8 J" i5 {" ]* e4 ?5 |
• Liquidity;
) r9 K) R6 }7 A9 [, v# Q& z– Current Ratio
, r U9 M/ H, M0 QCurrent Assets = X:16 g7 ?, C1 u2 Y
Current Liabilities
( u; m% q8 }* r8 X6 M6 W• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts
; O7 D; K& L' p0 J) @3 }# ~RULE OF THUMB: 2:19 H: U; G$ M/ p8 B, n
– Acid Test
; W/ m. Q8 N) @Cash + M/S + A/R = X:1- p6 | n, t7 d$ [* _5 {
Current Liabilities5 x/ k2 G! {. ~: h! l6 |' u# K
• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us+ n: [4 {7 R- t" ?! \
RULE OF THUMB: 1:1
% ]9 w; e$ G7 H2 t
* s# t: C3 k6 s6 ]$ B% N, w& D5 _– Working Capital
, A# ^" u E% Y4 G8 ^C.A - C.L = $X
: m' a3 @! R N$ U! N2 W• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid2 a, E ~% c% O8 ]
" ^$ U( L: O$ S$ c: j
Efficiency;
5 }+ q% r; r' C4 B' ^– Age of Receivables( S5 y. ^) I$ s+ v( a& U
Accounts Receivabl = # Days) k! ~) @- l: N1 W. ^- Q
(Sales / 365)5 n) z9 X |/ K2 [9 e
• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$* `% j+ E: k# M! \
5 J- S( J9 X) _4 I$ ~* S; e
– Age Of Payables$ O4 O W) q0 z" ^: @6 }: |
Accounts Payable = # Days
( v' h- D9 q" A6 o3 F(Purchases* / 365), `$ d: [. x! W. y2 ]* E7 _4 T
• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills
7 o- r# j# s0 g
& X) m" Z9 A- u/ r* {( r3 Z– Age of Inventory! p& n, X {; K! I' C8 G
Inventory = # Days. t6 c/ |/ Z/ I/ P8 [
(COGS / 365)
3 m/ z5 J7 K5 [& `• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse
$ z$ E4 W$ C. l" i4 D+ {" c8 S. S% \
• Growth;
3 A+ I" W7 X k4 F6 e% }7 c. ?– Sales
+ L1 d* Y& z" |3 B$ a! A5 h" ?– Net Income
- o8 T. A% T- B2 c4 F8 F– Total Assets
) y1 J- K/ E, M( Z& b- W j– Equity
2 W9 e) k# R O/ d' EYr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %9 x! C# R& Y9 s/ i
Yr. 1
# t6 u7 }- v3 }# @) a2 e r& n. q• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)
' x& f( F$ X, \& Y1 }
0 s2 F, E& |3 {8 j2 h c" a3 ZUnderstanding Ratios( V$ g4 r( b a# @$ G) D
• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”2 m. G+ n* z* h/ x
• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio
; j' ?$ {$ r, s) g% [+ |• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”! H+ X6 W. J1 Y A
– Which number caused the change?2 q) L5 G3 Y! ]& e6 q8 b+ h: Q
– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.
* O0 l* M/ {: D0 Y9 n– Will these trends continue?
" [+ U9 b) D# v/ {– How does the company compare to the industry?
6 X, m% s1 t& J! R! G& O. z. w# _6 I" O7 O* X. a8 |9 D5 g
2 w, G/ J3 i1 I4 ]. H
Classifying Costs
8 k1 { k# K% G/ L• Variable Costs
# q6 F9 h' q; _6 E– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)" _' _( g9 U& V' M; o5 c' M
• Fixed Costs3 w6 D& |4 ]! m& j5 m% B, x. j/ i
– cost that does not vary with volume |
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